Cochran played a game based on his own emotions. Technically, the odds of Savaii remaining the Top 6 are high and I have no idea WHY would he flipped if he's indeed a strategist, and that comes down to his emotions. He let his emotions take control of his vote.
With 2 Immunity, 1 Idol.. if they go into a second tie, the chances will be only him or Jim going home (Keith will be immuned)
On the other hand, 5 members on the other tribe has NO IMMUNITY at all. (Rick now has Immunity due to a second tie)
With 2 vs 5, their chances of picking a stone is possible, but almost 2 and a half times lesser than Upolu. Cochran never has a better chance in the game to play with Savaii all the way to the final 6. Joining forces with Upolu.. he's going to make it to 6th or 7th place the most. BUT, I can foresee Upolu bringing him further than that because ultimately, his tribe hates him and he's a great final three candidate, honestly.
I won't blame Cochran for him flipping, because Savaii treated him like dirt, but Dawn is right, what goes around comes around. His chances of winning this game is almost zero. Except from Dawn, I don't see anyone else from Savaii giving him the jury votes if he indeed makes the final three.
I don't mind him telling Upolu that he was a fake double agent, but going to the extend of telling Upolu Savaii's voting plan... that is not honourable and it will come to bite him back.
Enough of strategic talking, I love the Immunity Challenge today, very very refreshing and creative. I just wished Dawn stayed there and see how many more people she could take down before she quit the challenge, even though she win Immunity.
Next week, we see Jim trying to get Upolu members to do some serious flipping. I don't like Albert as he gives me a sneaky feeling. I am still rooting for Dawn, playing this game with her heart, integrity and being completely honest and having a good social game. I really hope Upolu doesn't target her yet, she's the only person I'm probably rooting for right now.. someone tell me why is Edna still around, she still seemed useless. Sigh. Go Edna, be an underdog and start making big moves...