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Author Topic: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*  (Read 125183 times)

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DavidJunior

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #875 on: January 30, 2010, 08:14:17 PM »
so if i'm reading the spoilers correctly, the course should be something like this:
Start: Los Angeles, USA (big surprise  :res:)
Leg 1: Valporaiso, Chile
Leg 2: Puerto Varas, Chile
Leg 3: Bariloche, Argentina
Leg 4: Liverpool, England
Leg 5: England/France (not confirmed)
Leg 6: Northern France (major WWI battlefield)
Leg 7: The Seychelles
Leg 8: Penang, Malaysia
Leg 9: Singapore
Leg 10: Shanghai, China I
Leg 11: Shanghai, China II
Leg 12: San Francisco, USA

there is also a slight possibility of the extra leg being in Malaysia.  But I believe it's another leg in Europe OR another leg in Malaysia (i chose Europe)


Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #876 on: March 26, 2010, 12:10:47 AM »
Speculated Finale Placements
1st: Jet and Cord
2nd: Dan and Jordan
3rd: Brent and Caitie
« Last Edit: March 26, 2010, 08:10:31 AM by TexasLady »

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Offline RealityFreakWill

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #877 on: March 26, 2010, 12:42:48 AM »
Speculated Finale Placements
1st: Jet and Cord
2nd: Dan and Jordan
3rd: Brent and Caitie

First of all welcome to RFF....

But can  you back up with the evidence?

Cuz the spec I'm getting is that Dan and Jordan won followed by the cowpokes and then B/C.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2010, 08:26:26 AM by TexasLady »

Offline Evan_Weinstein

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #878 on: March 26, 2010, 01:50:14 AM »
in fact i am beginning to suspect that the cowboy winning the million dollars.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2010, 08:28:58 AM by TexasLady »
Singaporean here - PM me, if you need me to translate, Chinese, Malay, English, German or Japanese

Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #879 on: March 26, 2010, 01:54:44 AM »
I gathered all the evidences. Most probably Jet and Cord won(90/10). Then Dan and Jordan and Brent and Caitie


Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #880 on: March 26, 2010, 02:00:09 AM »
I think its kinda illegal for the winners to leak out their position in the race if not they wont receive the 1 million dollars.

Offline Evan_Weinstein

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #881 on: March 26, 2010, 02:07:19 AM »
anyway is about Cord losing his wallet in WY




(No posting images from Facebook, OK? Thanks! )
« Last Edit: March 26, 2010, 09:34:52 AM by TexasLady »
Singaporean here - PM me, if you need me to translate, Chinese, Malay, English, German or Japanese

Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #882 on: March 26, 2010, 02:45:31 AM »
But Dan and Jordan are still in this to win this thing! Thats for sure! Brent and Caitlin is definitely 3rd.

Offline georgiapeach

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #883 on: March 26, 2010, 08:34:06 AM »
Okay guys, a couple of things, Speculation belongs in the speculation thread, not in the Timeline.

Second, NO racers Facebook's conversations or photos or ANYTHING at all from FB is allowed here without their written permission. We have an excellent relationship with the racers, and value their trust and friendship, and we do not lift their conversations out of context. These guidelines are posted in the TAR 16 racers thread.

Hiipers Girl, you are very welcome here, as long as you remember those guidelines and familiarize yourself with the SIMPLE RULES and RACER GUIDELINES.

You regular posters know better.

"Our fans are pretty good. They don't give away too much. Sometimes people love dropping spoilers, but our fans are good. They tend to do it in such a way that doesn't ruin it for fans who don't want to know."--Phil Keoghan

Offline apskip

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #884 on: March 26, 2010, 08:36:09 AM »
What a useless conversation above. If you want to speculate, just do it. The evidence from Spoilers points to a very specific outcome. If you want to know, go find it in earlier posts.


Offline slayton

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #885 on: April 05, 2010, 06:07:06 PM »
Since the "Ranking the Teams" thread is unspoiled and I can't find any other threads for this, I decided to place my calculations, based on theschnauzers's numbers, here.

Quote
Jet-Cord   2.8750   23/8   
Carol-Brandy   3.8750   31/8 
Louie-Michael   4.5000   36/8 
Jordan-Daniel    5.5000   44/8 
Brent-Caite    5.5000   44/8   

Steve-Allison   3.3750   27/8
Jeff-Jordan   5.6666   34/6
Joseph-Heidi    4.4000   22/5   
Monique-Shawne 5.3333   16/3
Jody-Shannon    10.0000   20/2
Adrian-Dana    11.0000   11/1   

  • Carol & Brandy are currently 31/8.  Since they're expected to go this week, they'll end up with 36/9 --> final average placement of 4.0000 
  • Louie & Michael are currently 36/8.  With the spoilers pointing to back-to-back 4th place finishes in Shanghai, they can't do any better than 45/11 or 4.0909.
  • Jordan & Daniel and Brent & Caite are both currently 44/8.  Neither team can do better than 48/12 or 4.0000.


I learned my lesson, from the sums of all the final 3 and final 4 teams, that trying to determine the best and worst performing casts with just average placements doesn't work.

I think the only way to compare the casts of each season is to determine if that particular cast has reached certain benchmarks.
 
If TAR16 shakes out the way the spoilers indicate, then I will argue that the TAR16 cast is indeed the worst performing cast in TAR US history based on at least 3 different benchmarks:

  • Every cast from TAR1-TAR15 has had at least 3 teams with an average placement better than 4.  TAR16 looks like it's going to be the first cast to not accomplish this, with only Jet & Cord and Steve & Allie doing better than 4. 
  • No cast from TAR1-TAR15 has ever had more than 1 team in the final 4 with an average placement of 4 or worse.  TAR16 looks like it's going to end up with 3 teams in the final 4 with an average placement of 4 or worse.
  • No cast from TAR1-TAR15 has ever had more than 1 team in the final 3 with an average placement of 4 or worse.  TAR16 looks like it's going to end up with 2 teams in the final 3 with an average placement of 4 or worse.

Eric & Danielle are the worst performing winners right now with 3.6153.  If Jet & Cord don't win, TAR16 will have the worst performing winners in TAR US history, and it will also have the first winners to have an average placement of 4 or worse.

One last item of note is that every winner has had an average placement ranked either first, second, or third compared to everyone in their own cast, except for Eric & Danielle whose average placement was ranked fourth in their cast behind Oswald & Danny, Rob & Amber, and Dustin & Kandice.  If Jet & Cord don't win, TAR16's winners could rank anywhere from third in their cast, tied with Carol & Brandy, all the way to sixth in their cast.

Offline amazingracer24

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #886 on: April 25, 2010, 05:25:57 AM »
I have a question!!


is DUAL CITIZENSHIP accepted in TAR???

Offline DrRox

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #887 on: April 25, 2010, 06:12:39 AM »
I have a question!!


is DUAL CITIZENSHIP accepted in TAR???

You have to race with a US passport...........thats about as simple as I can put it.

As long as one of those "DUAL CITIZENSHIP's" is a U.S. one ......then you are a US Citizen, right?
« Last Edit: April 25, 2010, 06:16:53 AM by DrRox »
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Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #888 on: April 26, 2010, 11:55:16 PM »
Which team do you think will win this race?
(1) Dan and Jordan?
(2) Brent and Caite
(3) Jet and Cord

Offline redskevin88

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #889 on: April 27, 2010, 12:43:19 AM »
Which team do you think will win this race?
(1) Dan and Jordan?
(2) Brent and Caite
(3) Jet and Cord

JET AND CORD!!!

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Offline Kevin_Zhu

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #890 on: April 27, 2010, 10:29:58 AM »
Jet and Cord!! :wohoo:
TAR16 FAVS Jet & Cord, Steve & Allie, Dan & Jordan

Offline Hooky

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #891 on: April 27, 2010, 06:06:33 PM »
Which team do you think will win this race?
(1) Dan and Jordan?
(2) Brent and Caite
(3) Jet and Cord

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Offline AmazingRace

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #892 on: April 28, 2010, 03:32:32 AM »
I have a feeling it is Dan & Jordan :duno: :meow: though I want Jet & Cord to win this race!  :jumpy:
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Offline Sailing

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #893 on: April 28, 2010, 05:18:56 AM »
I thought it was already known who won this season per Claire's post?  :lol:

Offline redskevin88

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #894 on: April 28, 2010, 05:22:13 AM »
I thought it was already known who won this season per Claire's post?  :lol:

Who?

Offline SuzuKen

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #895 on: April 28, 2010, 05:32:07 AM »
I thought it was already known who won this season per Claire's post?  :lol:

Who?

Wat? U mean e winners haf been leaked alr? O.o hope it's team cowbros! (Tho if D/J won tat won't b too bad either! XD)
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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #896 on: April 28, 2010, 06:17:43 AM »
I thought it was already known who won this season per Claire's post?  :lol:

Who?

Wat? U mean e winners haf been leaked alr? O.o hope it's team cowbros! (Tho if D/J won tat won't b too bad either! XD)

The winner is not known. The above comments are by people that really dont like do much reading and just make wish lists in the middle of threads that have nothing to do with the thread. Just ignore them.
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Offline HIIPERS GIRL

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #897 on: April 28, 2010, 08:24:03 AM »
Speculations and Spoilers have shown that most probably Dan and Jordan will win. Jet and Cord 1st runner up, Brent and Caite 2nd :) :neener: :yess:

Offline woden

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #898 on: April 28, 2010, 08:28:12 AM »
Speculations and Spoilers have shown that most probably Dan and Jordan will win. Jet and Cord 1st runner up, Brent and Caite 2nd :) :neener: :yess:

Not a given by any means. Dan & Jordan were suggested to have a 30 minute lead out of customs, but Phil has confirmed in a TVGuide interview that other teams were able to catch up and there were some lead changes. Let's not get ahead of ourselves.

Offline jerseydude

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Re: Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
« Reply #899 on: April 28, 2010, 08:50:34 AM »
Speculations and Spoilers have shown that most probably Dan and Jordan will win. Jet and Cord 1st runner up, Brent and Caite 2nd :) :neener: :yess:

Not a given by any means. Dan & Jordan were suggested to have a 30 minute lead out of customs, but Phil has confirmed in a TVGuide interview that other teams were able to catch up and there were some lead changes. Let's not get ahead of ourselves.

Can we have a source? Because without a source, there is no liability to your statement. (Even though I hope your predicted outcome is true ;) )
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