Got one out of two right! I correctly figured out Dan was a goner, but I didn't really expect Sugar to turn on Ace! Actually, I think getting rid of Ace was a smart move. He was a threat to win Immunity challenges after the merge and might've been a threat to win it all if he got to the jury.
As for the Kota vote -- that was a smart move too. Have Susie and Dan vote for each other, then have two members of the new Onion Alliance (Marcus and Randy) vote for Susie, while the other three voted for Dan. If Dan had the Hidden Immunity Idol, they'd get rid of Susie while keeping their alliance safe. Of course Dan didn't have the idol, Sugar did, so out the door Dan went.