RFF Archive > The Amazing Race 12 Archive

TAR12 timeline speculation

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gingerman28:

--- Quote from: apskip on October 19, 2007, 01:01:06 PM ---I want to offer this updated approximate timeline of AR12 from what is known right now:

July 2 or 3 departure from U.S., maybe to someplace in Latin America, maybe direct to Belize City

July 5 in Belize City

July 6-7 somewhere in Latin America

July 8 in Los Angeles International Airport for flight to Ireland

July 10 fly Dublin to Amsterdam


July 13 fly CDG to Ouagadougou

July 14-18 UNKNOWN

July 18 to 20 Dubrovnik

July 20 don't know but suspect Vilnius, Lithuania

July 22 to 29 UNKNOWN

July 29 Girdwood, Alaska

August ? Final city in lower 48

Now, the most interesting thing about the above is that 9 places are already identified or their geography and rough time is bounded. If you believe public statements made by CBS, there will be 11 elimination points maximum if there are 13 teams starting AR12. What happens to the other time? do they take a week off before continuing to Alaksa? What do you think?

--- End quote ---

July 14 - 18 Unknown.  But could be taken up with a stop in Prague or Romania before going on to Dubrovnik.  (By the way a wonderful place to spend more than a few hours, in fact the entire coast of Croatia is a must see for you all one of these days.) 

The other big gap - July 22 to 29 - allows time for teams to proceed somewhere into Asia before continuing on to Alaska.

Agree that LAX is just a transition point between Mexico and Ireland.

There still is that possibility that all the teams were sent individually to some place in Mexico or Central America for the start city.  We have found no evidence yet of any filming at any US airport for a start.  This certainly would keep the peepers at bay and would add a new twist to the old tried and true TAR.

apskip:
My latest timeline incorporating my speculations indicated in that thread:

July 3 U.S. to Lima or Iquitos OR U.S. to Belize City

July 5 Lima or Iquitos to Belize City OR Belize City to Lima Iquitos

July 8 Lima or Iquitos or Belize City to Los Angeles

July 8 Los Angeles to Dublin

July 10 Dublin to Amsterdam

July 13 Amsterdam to Paris-CDG to Ouagadougou

July 15 Ouagadougou to Dakar

July 17 Dakar to Dubrovnik(arriving July 18)

July 20 Dubrovnik to Odessa, Ukraine

July 22 Odessa, Ukraine to one of the following Russian cities: Rostov or Krasnodar/Sochi

July 24 Rostov or Krasnodar/Sochi  to Addis Ababa

July 26 Addis Ababa to Arusha, Tanzania

July 28 Arusha, Tanzania to Girdwood Alaska(arriving July 29)

August 1 Final U.S. City

Please note that this has an AR12 with 13 pistops like they traditionally have, not the 11 indicated by CBS (unless they have 15 teams starting).

LATER EDIT: I modified the Russian cities after I learned from intense map work that Baku is in Azeerbaijan, Sevastopol is in Ukraine(but would not be chosen over Odessa), and Sochi has a fabulous once-a-week nonstop flight to Dubai that fits the timetable. Sochi and Krasnodar are only 100 road miles apart, so it would be feasible to fly into Krasnodar and fly out of Sochi. The point is to use cities in southern European Russia.

This Timeline is based on my SPECULATION thread entry. All of the caveats that go with that about whether Mr. Van Vuure's resume is historical or referring to AR12 only also apply to this Timeline.

Kiwi Jay:

--- Quote from: apskip on October 21, 2007, 05:22:56 PM ---My latest timeline incorporating my speculations indicated in that thread:

July 3 U.S. to Lima or Iquitos OR U.S. to Belize City

July 5 Lima or Iquitos to Belize City OR Belize City to Lima Iquitos

July 8 Lima or Iquitos or Belize City to Los Angeles

July 8 Los Angeles to Dublin

July 10 Dublin to Amsterdam

July 13 Amsterdam to Paris-CDG to Ouagadougou

July 15 Ouagadougou to Dakar

July 17 Dakar to Dubrovnik(arriving July 18)

July 20 Dubrovnik to Odessa, Ukraine

July 22 Odessa, Ukraine to one of the following Russian cities: Sevastopol, Rostov, Baku

July 24 Sevastopol or Rostov or Baku to Addis Ababa

July 26 Addis Ababa to Arusha, Tanzania

July 28 Arusha, Tanzania to Girdwood Alaska(arriving July 29)

August 1 Final U.S. City

Please note that this has an AR12 with 13 pistops like they traditionally have, not the 11 indicated by CBS (unless they have 15 teams starting).


--- End quote ---

Well done

apskip:
I am adding to the real (incomplete)  timeline, not the speculative one, this flight info from Dubrovnik to Vilnius:

OU418 departs Dubrovnik 0730 arrives Frankfurt 0925, connects with LH3252 departs Frankfurt 1100 arrives Vilnius 1400

or

x35441 departs Dubrovnik 0915 arrives Munich 1050, connects with BT224 departs Munich 1325 arrives Vilnius 1630

apskip:
My latest flight info combined with timeline thinking:

1. 8th LAX to DUB  EI144 1630 to 1030(July 9), July 9th DUB to SNN EI133 1145 to 1230  OR EI125 1300 to 1345

2. 10 DUB to AMS EI602 0602 to 0845  OR  EI 610 1720 to 1955 (Note: if EI610 then the next leg is not possible as indicated)

3. 11 AMS to VNO (Vilnius, Lithuania) TE411 1010 to 1325

4. 13 VNO to CDG TE470 0735 to 0925 (note: if they miss this they will have to wait 24 hours for the next flight CDG to OUA)
CDG to OUA (Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso) AF730  1640 to 1940

5. 15 OUA to ?

6. 18 ? to DBV

7. 20 DBV to ?

8. 23 ? to ?

9. 25 ? to KIX (Osaka)

10. 27 KIX to TPE (Taipei) choice of EG211 1035 1220, CX565 1115 1319, BT2131 1310 1450, Ci157 1315 1505, NW69 2000 2155, EG217 2040 2225

11. 29 TPE to ANC CI12 1715 0905 (July 29 after crossing the International Date Line)

12. Aug. 1 ANC to Final City USA(note: may actually depart late evening of July 31)

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