Possible route of race (based on number of legs per continent theory):
Leg 5 (Argentina to Mozambique) = Non-elimination point
Leg 6 (Mozambique to Africa [probably Tanzania]) = 5th team eliminated
Leg 7 (Africa [probably Tanzania] to Africa [probably Kenya]) = 6th team eliminated
Leg 8 (Africa [probably Kenya] to Poland) = TBC
Leg 9 (Poland to Malaysia) = 7th team eliminated
Leg 10 (Malaysia to Macau) = Non-elimination point
Leg 11 (Macau to Hong Kong) = Non-elimination point
Leg 12 (Hong Kong to Guam) = 8th team eliminated
Leg 13 (Guam to Hawaii to San Francisco) = Final 3
Just what I thought. Although, if the "Marked for Elimination" penalty is still in effect, maybe there are no consecutive NELs. What if the TBC ends in a NEL in leg 9 and leg 10 is an elimination leg? That would suck so much though, considering that you waited for the continuation of a TBC leg the following week, and find out that no one has been philiminated.
Another possibility is if leg 7 is a NEL/TBC, leg 8 is an elimination leg, leg 9 is a NEL/TBC, and leg 10 is another elimination leg.